Sure.

That’s a good estimate ion of this but there are some things you missed but I can explain the rest in more animations

(The new character is hiding the fact that the old character was missing, But there are clues such as the missing poster being hidden away and the supposed blood of the character)

(From what i understand, The previous character goes missing for some reason, And a new character shows up, And on a split second the old character was shown lying on the ground killed, Probably assasinated)

Then tell me what’s going on